Five reasons why Chelsea WILL win the Premier League title this season

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Chelsea might have barely finished in the Top 4 last season but the new campaign is already looking more encouraging.

Since the start of the century, Chelse have lifted the Premier League title five times. In that time, only Manchester United have won more league titles in England.

While the Blues have been crowned English champions three times in last decade, they have also failed to finish higher than third in seven of the last ten seasons. The last three seasons have been particularly challenging, with Chelsea finishing outside the Top 4 in in the 2017/18 season, crawling to a 3rd place finish the following season and then edging Leicester City out of fourth place in the just-ended campaign.

While the declining results might be blamed primarily on other sides in the league – Liverpool, Man City and Man Utd, in particular – building much stronger teams, the Blues’ own free-fall in terms of team quality is a major factor as well.

Ahead of the start of the new season, however, the level of expectation from Stamford Bridge is perhaps the highest it’s been in a few years, even higher than Antonio Conte’s title-winning season.

Last season, Chelsea’s 4th place finish, with a relatively inexperienced team and manager, was hailed as a success. This season, the word from several quarters is that anything less than the title for the West London club would be considered a failure.

Here’s why a first Premier League title in four years for Chelsea might not be just a probability, but maybe an absolute certainty.

A first-choice Champions-League proven goal machine

Goalscoring has always proven to be a major issue for Chelsea. While the club has consistently paid big money for some of the biggest names in the goalscoring profession, the rewards have not necessarily been reciprocal enough – think Andriy Shevchenko, Alvaro Morata and Fernando Torres. It’s no coincidence that the club’s last, widely-acclaimed forward, Diego Costa, led them to their last Premier League title.

Chelsea’s German striker Timo Werner is pictured during the pre-season friendly football match between Brighton and Hove Albion and Chelsea at the American Express Community Stadium in Brighton, southern England on August 29, 2020. – The game is a ‘pilot’ event where a small number of fans will be present on a socially-distanced basis. The aim is to get fans back into stadiums in the Premier League by October. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP) (Photo by GLYN KIRK/AFP via Getty Images)

Last season, Tammy Abraham and Oliver Giroud (in the second half of the season) bore a large chunk of Chelsea’s goalscoring duties but neither managed to crack the 20-goal mark. Actually, only Abraham managed to score above 10 goals.  In contrast, Raheem Sterling scored over 20 goals for  Man City last season while Aguero bagged 16 goals before his season-ending injury. Liverpool’s Sadio Mane and Mohammed Salah scored 18 and 19 goals respectively last season. For Man Utd, Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial both scored 17.

Chelsea are attempting to solve this problem with the signing of Timo Werner, who scored 34 goals for RB Leipzig last season. Aside from being a top-class finisher, Werner is usually first choice for his club and country, unlike Morata who barely got gametime at Real Madrid before moving to Chelsea. Werner could be the striker who could help Chelsea break through that 20-goal barrier again en route to the Premier League title.

A new threat from set-pieces

Being a threat from set-pieces is something Chelsea teams over the years have been characterised with; quality delivery from set-pieces as well as viable targets in the box to make the most of them.

Last season Chelsea scored 11 goals from set-pieces according to Whoscored, six fewer than Man City and Liverpool’s tally of 17. One major complaint levelled at Chelsea last season by fans was their constant inability to take advantage of their numerous set-pieces, either because of poor crosses, bad positioning and/or poor finishing. The addition of serial assister, Hakim Ziyech to Chelsea’s lineup for next season, is definitely a boost to the club’s set-piece woes, servincg as a replacement, maybe even an upgrade to Brazilian, Willian who bore the brunt of the fans’ ire.

Thiago Silva

Chelsea have spent a great deal of money on a number of signings this summer. One signing that excited me as a journalist who has covered the club for years is that of Brazil defender, Thiago Silva. Chelsea’s defensive issues were well-documented last season; they conceded 54 goals in the league alone.

While goalkeeper, Kepa, rightly came up for criticism, Chelsea’s defenders weren’t blameless either. I have said before and maintain that Chelsea’s greatest loss in the last decade wasn’t Hazard, Cech or Lampard. It was Terry. It’s not just the defensive solidity that Chelsea lack, it’s the leadership that Terry enforced effortlessly over the rest of the squad, particularly his defensive partners. That’s the kind of impact I envision Thiago Silva having at Stamford Bridge next season as it’s the kind of impact he’s largely had at AC Milan, PSG and for the Brazil national team. Chelsea will concede goals next season but it’s doubtful we’ll see a repeat of the sheer silliness we saw in a number of the goals they let in last season.

A mix of youth, experience and, most importantly, quality

Chelsea were once the team with no youngsters, then last season, they became the team with mostly youngsters. This season, Chelsea appear to have figured out a balance between the inexperienced players and battle-worn stars.

Mason Mount, Tammy Abraham, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Christian Pulisic and new recruit, Kai Havertz, are all under 25, while players like N’golo Kante, Jorginho, Mateo Kovacic, Ziyech and Olivier Giroud have some miles on their metres. While experience is always key for any Premier League team, quality is arguably even more important. One major question raised about the Blues last season was whether they have enough quality across the pitch. More often then not, they didn’t, leading to dropped points in matches they should have won easily. A raft of transfers (quality signings, mind you) into the club and some widely expected transfers out of West London have created some much-needed balance and depth in quality, in the team.

A more experienced manager

Lampard’s sophomore year as manager was hailed as a roaring success. Fourth place and a cup final were seen as a brilliant first season in the ‘big leagues’ for a manager who had only ever managed in the Championship.

It wasn’t all plain sailing for ‘Super Frankie’ however, as he had to come to terms with the pressure that comes with managing a club like Chelsea, young manager or not.

He was criticised for his selections, in-game management, and various other decisions by fans and some pundits throughout the season.

All those were important lessons for a manager who was a roaring success as a player and has the potential to become a top manager.

The matches against Man Utd last season are a perfect case study . Chelsea lost their first three encounters against Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s Man Utd (including a humiliating 4-0 loss) before beating the Red Devils in the FA Cup semi-final. Lampard refused to compromise on his attacking style in the first few matches and was beaten by Man Utd’s counter-attacking strategy. Realising his errors in the final match, Lampard’s tweaks made a huge difference.

Next season, he might not have four chances to correct his mistakes but he might not need it. Chelsea have a much better squad than they did last season and expectant fans; all the ingredients needed to bring the best out of their manager.


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